AgenticInvestor

Switzerland Money Supply M1

Switzerland · Monthly series · EC-CH-M1

Latest, September 2026

780.41B CHF

+0.3% from August 2026

Open interactive chartSwitzerland Money Supply M1 in the app

876.5B733.3B590.2BOctober 2016September 2027
History through September 2026, the forecast path to September 2027 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for September 2027: 808.24B CHF, with an 80% interval of 732.03B CHF to 876.52B CHF.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
October 2026784.69B CHF776.84B CHF793.32B CHF
November 2026787.58B CHF771.54B CHF807.04B CHF
December 2026789.68B CHF769.94B CHF811.62B CHF
January 2027791.18B CHF771.64B CHF812.27B CHF
February 2027794.12B CHF766.91B CHF823.38B CHF
March 2027796.35B CHF775.06B CHF819.05B CHF
April 2027798.74B CHF773.45B CHF824.94B CHF
May 2027800.37B CHF759.33B CHF843.36B CHF
June 2027802.84B CHF755.74B CHF849.50B CHF
July 2027804.75B CHF741.16B CHF864.98B CHF
August 2027807.09B CHF746.87B CHF864.11B CHF
September 2027808.24B CHF732.03B CHF876.52B CHF

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-15.

AI confidence

Supported evidence

The point forecast beat the no-change baseline overall and in a majority of the evaluated tests.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
+33%Beats the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 11 won)
Direction
85%Beats a coin flip (122 of 144 calls right in 12 tests)
Turning points
11 of 47Anticipated some turns (47 turns in 12 tests, 1 without a turn)
Error vs baseline
33% lowerError ratio 0.67; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won
11 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period
2014-10-01 to 2026-09-0112 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage
81%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

It is above 98% of the 119 earlier readings since October 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
September 2026780.41B CHF
August 2026778.20B CHF
July 2026770.24B CHF
June 2026768.61B CHF
May 2026769.23B CHF
April 2026767.16B CHF
March 2026764.60B CHF
February 2026756.35B CHF
January 2026753.18B CHF
December 2025750.29B CHF
November 2025751.86B CHF
October 2025741.71B CHF
September 2025733.86B CHF
August 2025731.33B CHF
July 2025723.53B CHF
June 2025709.41B CHF
May 2025674.12B CHF
April 2025670.32B CHF
March 2025653.88B CHF
February 2025634.65B CHF
January 2025632.47B CHF
December 2024635.57B CHF
November 2024620.90B CHF
October 2024611.10B CHF

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

More from Agentic Investor

Also stored for Switzerland