AgenticInvestor

Switzerland Unemployment Rate

Switzerland · Monthly series · EC-CH-UR

Latest, June 2026

5.1%

+0.00pp from May 2026

Open interactive chartSwitzerland Unemployment Rate in the app

5.54.653.8July 2016June 2027
History through June 2026, the forecast path to June 2027 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for June 2027: 4.9%, with an 80% interval of 4.6% to 5.1%.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
July 20265.1%5.0%5.2%
August 20265.1%4.9%5.3%
September 20265.1%4.7%5.4%
October 20265.1%4.8%5.3%
November 20265.1%4.7%5.4%
December 20265.0%4.7%5.3%
January 20275.0%4.6%5.3%
February 20275.0%4.6%5.3%
March 20274.9%4.5%5.3%
April 20274.9%4.4%5.3%
May 20274.9%4.3%5.4%
June 20274.9%4.6%5.1%

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-15.

AI confidence

Mixed evidence

The tests show no consistent, material advantage over the no-change baseline.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
+10%Matches the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 6 won)
Direction
70%No clear edge over a coin flip (88 of 125 calls right in 12 tests)
Turning points
7 of 24Anticipated some turns (24 turns in 12 tests, 0 without a turn)
Error vs baseline
10% lowerError ratio 0.90; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won
6 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period
2014-07-01 to 2026-06-0112 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage
82%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

It is above 86% of the 119 earlier readings since July 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
June 20265.1%
May 20265.1%
April 20265.1%
March 20265.0%
February 20264.8%
January 20264.9%
December 20255.1%
November 20255.2%
October 20255.1%
September 20255.0%
August 20254.9%
July 20254.9%
June 20254.9%
May 20254.9%
April 20254.8%
March 20254.5%
February 20254.4%
January 20254.4%
December 20244.5%
November 20244.5%
October 20244.5%
September 20244.6%
August 20244.6%
July 20244.5%

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

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