AgenticInvestor

Poland Exports

Poland · Monthly series · EC-PL-EXP

Latest, July 2026

38.18B EUR

-2.7% from June 2026

Open interactive chartPoland Exports in the app

47.5B31.45B15.41BAugust 2016July 2027
History through July 2026, the forecast path to July 2027 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for July 2027: 39.68B EUR, with an 80% interval of 35.96B EUR to 43.46B EUR.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
August 202636.28B EUR33.98B EUR38.42B EUR
September 202640.55B EUR38.59B EUR42.62B EUR
October 202642.18B EUR40.24B EUR44.22B EUR
November 202640.87B EUR38.02B EUR43.84B EUR
December 202636.54B EUR32.41B EUR40.59B EUR
January 202738.26B EUR35.06B EUR41.53B EUR
February 202739.37B EUR36.94B EUR41.75B EUR
March 202742.30B EUR37.04B EUR47.50B EUR
April 202740.63B EUR38.72B EUR42.54B EUR
May 202740.59B EUR35.36B EUR45.92B EUR
June 202741.22B EUR35.88B EUR46.53B EUR
July 202739.68B EUR35.96B EUR43.46B EUR

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-14.

AI confidence

Supported evidence

The point forecast beat the no-change baseline overall and in a majority of the evaluated tests.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
+34%Beats the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 11 won)
Direction
77%No clear edge over a coin flip (111 of 144 calls right in 12 tests)
Turning points
64 of 77Anticipated most turns (77 turns in 12 tests, 0 without a turn)
Error vs baseline
34% lowerError ratio 0.66; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won
11 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period
2014-08-01 to 2026-07-0112 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage
81%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

It is above 97% of the 119 earlier readings since August 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
July 202638.18B EUR
June 202639.22B EUR
May 202637.32B EUR
April 202638.16B EUR
March 202639.90B EUR
February 202636.14B EUR
January 202634.60B EUR
December 202533.09B EUR
November 202536.13B EUR
October 202539.52B EUR
September 202537.47B EUR
August 202531.06B EUR
July 202535.52B EUR
June 202534.74B EUR
May 202534.10B EUR
April 202533.98B EUR
March 202534.35B EUR
February 202530.73B EUR
January 202531.08B EUR
December 202427.68B EUR
November 202432.84B EUR
October 202435.60B EUR
September 202433.35B EUR
August 202429.34B EUR

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

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