AgenticInvestor

Poland GDP From Construction

Poland · Quarterly series · EC-PL-GDPC

Latest, Q2 2026

64.64B PLN

+67.1% from Q1 2026

Open interactive chartPoland GDP From Construction in the app

91.77B49.02B6.278BQ3 1996Q2 2027
History through Q2 2026, the forecast path to Q2 2027 (dashed) and its 80% interval (shaded).

Forecast

Forecast for Q2 2027: 66.80B PLN, with an 80% interval of 55.78B PLN to 78.48B PLN.

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
Q3 202663.09B PLN59.74B PLN67.22B PLN
Q4 202671.39B PLN53.64B PLN91.77B PLN
Q1 202739.71B PLN32.34B PLN48.55B PLN
Q2 202766.80B PLN55.78B PLN78.48B PLN

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model). Forecast generated 2026-11-15.

AI confidence

Supported evidence

The point forecast beat the no-change baseline overall and in a majority of the evaluated tests.

Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)

Accuracy vs naive
+60%Beats the no-change baseline over 8 tests (8 tests, 8 won)
Direction
75%No clear edge over a coin flip (24 of 32 calls right in 8 tests)
Turning points
18 of 20Anticipated most turns (20 turns in 8 tests, 0 without a turn)
Error vs baseline
60% lowerError ratio 0.40; 1.00 is a tie.
Tests won
8 / 8Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
Test period
2018-09-01 to 2026-06-014 observations ahead per test.
80% band coverage
88%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Replay past tests

Model comparison

Comparison pendingA new ticker first receives its serving model's forecast and evaluation. An eligible nightly batch can compare both candidates, subject to call budgets and retry limits.

Reading

It is above 97% of the 39 earlier readings since Q3 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
Q2 202664.64B PLN
Q1 202638.69B PLN
Q4 202575.64B PLN
Q3 202559.35B PLN
Q2 202560.73B PLN
Q1 202535.44B PLN
Q4 202460.52B PLN
Q3 202458.02B PLN
Q2 202455.20B PLN
Q1 202429.20B PLN
Q4 202353.02B PLN
Q3 202347.92B PLN
Q2 202349.74B PLN
Q1 202328.33B PLN
Q4 202244.97B PLN
Q3 202243.64B PLN
Q2 202243.25B PLN
Q1 202226.98B PLN
Q4 202145.92B PLN
Q3 202140.38B PLN
Q2 202141.42B PLN
Q1 202123.19B PLN
Q4 202042.95B PLN
Q3 202037.85B PLN

Source

Data: public market data feeds.

More from Agentic Investor

Also stored for Poland