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Gas Oil Futures

Energy · Monthly series · TOCOM:GSOL1!

Latest, October 2026

100,700.00 JPY (exchange quote)

-0.4% from September 2026

Open interactive chartGas Oil Futures in the terminal

Forecast

Forecast for October 2027: 100,700.04 JPY (exchange quote), with an 80% interval of 75,318.18 JPY (exchange quote) to 126,081.90 JPY (exchange quote).

Forecast path. Intervals are shown where available.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
November 2026100,700.04 JPY (exchange quote)94,102.33 JPY (exchange quote)107,297.75 JPY (exchange quote)
December 2026100,700.04 JPY (exchange quote)88,237.46 JPY (exchange quote)113,162.62 JPY (exchange quote)
January 2027100,700.04 JPY (exchange quote)87,092.09 JPY (exchange quote)114,307.99 JPY (exchange quote)
February 2027100,700.04 JPY (exchange quote)83,281.27 JPY (exchange quote)118,118.81 JPY (exchange quote)
March 2027100,700.04 JPY (exchange quote)80,446.85 JPY (exchange quote)120,953.23 JPY (exchange quote)
April 2027100,700.04 JPY (exchange quote)81,401.81 JPY (exchange quote)119,998.27 JPY (exchange quote)
May 2027100,700.04 JPY (exchange quote)82,003.79 JPY (exchange quote)119,396.29 JPY (exchange quote)
June 2027100,700.04 JPY (exchange quote)75,967.88 JPY (exchange quote)125,432.20 JPY (exchange quote)
July 2027100,700.04 JPY (exchange quote)77,257.77 JPY (exchange quote)124,142.31 JPY (exchange quote)
August 2027100,700.04 JPY (exchange quote)73,536.14 JPY (exchange quote)127,863.94 JPY (exchange quote)
September 2027100,700.04 JPY (exchange quote)78,979.34 JPY (exchange quote)122,420.74 JPY (exchange quote)
October 2027100,700.04 JPY (exchange quote)75,318.18 JPY (exchange quote)126,081.90 JPY (exchange quote)

Model: AutoETS (statistical). Forecast generated 2026-11-04.

AI confidence

Needs refresh

The data refresh is due. Confidence will be reassessed against the refreshed history.

Model: AutoETS (statistical)

How this assessment is made

AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.

Model comparison

4 of 4 models evaluatedModels are selected on older tests and evaluated on separate recent tests. All four classes completed their backtests.

Models tested

AutoETS scored lowest on the 6 older tests (1.00) and was chosen. The 6 recent tests played no part in the choice and give its grade (1.00). The search for a model that beats the naive forecast on both sets of tests goes on. Scores are MASE: a model's errors divided by the naive forecast's, so 1 is a tie.

4 model classes completed the tests: Statistical, Foundation model, Machine learning, Neural network.

Every model tested on this series.
ModelClass / libraryOlder testsRecent testsRole
Naive forecast (last value held)Benchmark · CPU1.001.00Benchmark
AutoETS (statistical)Statistical · StatsForecast · CPU1.001.00Serving
Timestral (foundation model)Foundation model · Timestral · GPU1.010.99Tested
CatBoost (machine learning)Machine learning · MLForecast · CPU1.121.04Tested
N-HiTS (neural network)Neural network · NeuralForecast · CPU1.221.49Tested

Reading

It is above 94% of the 119 earlier readings since November 2016.

Written from the figures by a fixed template; no AI model is involved.

Recent history (24 observations)
The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
October 2026100,700.00 JPY (exchange quote)
September 2026101,100.00 JPY (exchange quote)
August 2026102,200.00 JPY (exchange quote)
July 2026101,200.00 JPY (exchange quote)
June 2026102,000.00 JPY (exchange quote)
May 2026106,300.00 JPY (exchange quote)
April 2026109,400.00 JPY (exchange quote)
March 2026101,500.00 JPY (exchange quote)
February 202673,200.00 JPY (exchange quote)
January 202669,900.00 JPY (exchange quote)
December 202567,100.00 JPY (exchange quote)
November 202571,600.00 JPY (exchange quote)
October 202578,700.00 JPY (exchange quote)
September 202579,600.00 JPY (exchange quote)
August 202579,600.00 JPY (exchange quote)
July 202581,000.00 JPY (exchange quote)
June 202579,600.00 JPY (exchange quote)
May 202577,100.00 JPY (exchange quote)
April 202588,800.00 JPY (exchange quote)
March 202591,200.00 JPY (exchange quote)
February 202588,200.00 JPY (exchange quote)
January 202585,700.00 JPY (exchange quote)
December 202484,000.00 JPY (exchange quote)
November 202481,500.00 JPY (exchange quote)

Source

Data: TOCOM feed via TradingView.

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