Vietnam Manufacturing PMI
Output & Demand · Monthly series · VNPMI
Latest, October 2026
52.3 pts
+0.8% from September 2026
Forecast
This series is published as history only.
AI confidence
History onlyThis series does not carry a forecast.
How this assessment is made
AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.
Recent history (24 observations)
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| October 2026 | 52.3 pts |
| September 2026 | 51.9 pts |
| August 2026 | 53.3 pts |
| July 2026 | 52.9 pts |
| June 2026 | 51.8 pts |
| May 2026 | 52.8 pts |
| April 2026 | 50.5 pts |
| March 2026 | 51.2 pts |
| February 2026 | 54.3 pts |
| January 2026 | 52.5 pts |
| December 2025 | 53.0 pts |
| November 2025 | 53.8 pts |
| October 2025 | 54.5 pts |
| September 2025 | 50.4 pts |
| August 2025 | 50.4 pts |
| July 2025 | 52.4 pts |
| June 2025 | 48.9 pts |
| May 2025 | 49.8 pts |
| April 2025 | 45.6 pts |
| March 2025 | 50.5 pts |
| February 2025 | 49.2 pts |
| January 2025 | 48.9 pts |
| December 2024 | 49.8 pts |
| November 2024 | 50.8 pts |
Source
Data: extracted from official press releases.
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